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Extreme Heat in the Southwest; Severe Weather in the Northern Plains; Heavy Rain in the East

Extreme heat continues across the Southwest as temperatures may top 120 degrees. The heat may expand across the West and south-central U.S. into the middle of the month. Severe thunderstorms capable of severe wind gusts and large hail will be the primary hazards today across the northern Plains into the upper Midwest. Rainfall could be locally heavy across the Eastern U.S. today. Read More >

Recreation Forecasts

Latest Hot Air Balloon Text Forecast

We'd like to know how you use this forecast. Please send a note to our Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Aaron Woodward. Thanks!

                        
955
SXUS43 KUNR 032002
RECUNR

Afternoon Hot Air Balloon Forecast
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
202 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

This forecast is information to assist pilots and aircrews for flight planning
and is not to be considered as a sole source of information to meet all
preflight actions. Pilots should receive a complete preflight briefing from a
Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF) or online via 1800wxbrief.com.

...HERE IS THE AFTERNOON HOT AIR BALLOON FORECAST
FOR THE HOT SPRINGS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...
    Sunset:                          814 PM.

    Surface Wind Forecast:           4 PM...030/23G36 mph.
                                     6 PM...030/29G43 mph.

    Boundary Layer Wind:             4 PM...020/36 mph. Depth 5900 ft.
                                     6 PM...010/43 mph. Depth 4900 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 5 PM):              250ft...020/19 mph.
                                           500ft...020/23 mph.
                                          1000ft...020/23 mph.
                                          2000ft...020/23 mph.
                                          3000ft...010/22 mph.

    Surface Lifted Index:            4 PM...0.
                                     7 PM...+4.

    Density Altitude:                4 PM...6327 ft.
                                     6 PM...5848 ft.

    Additional Weather Info:         clear below 12000 feet AGL,
                                     unrestricted visibilities.


.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    Sunrise:        544 AM.
    Weather:        scattered clouds around 10000 feet AGL,
                    unrestricted visibilities.
    Surface Wind:   6 AM...060/03G12 mph.
                    8 AM...060/03G12 mph.
    Boundary Wind:  6 AM...040/09 mph. Depth 600 ft.
                    8 AM...060/09 mph. Depth 2000 ft.

    RAP Winds (approx. 6 AM):  250ft...040/08 mph.
                               500ft...040/11 mph.
                              1000ft...030/14 mph.
                              2000ft...010/16 mph.
                              3000ft...350/15 mph.

This forecast is not routinely updated or amended outside of any scheduled
issuances.

&&

Additional aviation observations and forecasts are available at
aviationweather.gov. You can also read the local aviation forecast discussion
at https://www.aviationweather.gov/fcstdisc.

$$

WFO UNR



                

Note: "Boundary layer" above refers to the planetary boundary layer, or the layer within which the effects of friction are significant (courtesy of the NWS Glossary). The depth of this layer will vary throughout the day, typically reaching its maximum depth in the afternoon and minimum depth overnight.

Link: Vertical Wind Profile for Hot Springs Municipal Airport (courtesy CWSU Seattle)

 

The soundings below show temperature (in red) and dew point (in green) at decreasing pressures (increasing heights) throughout the atmosphere.

Winds (in knots; 1 knot = 1.15078 mph) are shown at right.
Pennants or flags correspond to 50 kt, long barbs represent 10 kt, and short barbs represent 5 kt. Winds are also colored by magnitude.
The shaft points to the direction from which the wind is blowing. More information about wind barbs can be found here.

 

Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)


Latest Observed Sounding from Rapid City (courtesy NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research)

 

 

Forecast Soundings for the Hot Springs Municipal Airport (click to zoom)

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