Showers and Storms in the East; Dangerously Hot and Dry in the West

Scattered showers and storms are expected across portions of the Central and Eastern U.S. through the end of the week. Meanwhile, dangerous heat will intensify across the Desert Southwest and Intermountain West. Hot, dry weather and increasing winds will allow elevated wildfire conditions to return to the northern Intermountain West, where air quality issues persist from ongoing fires. Read More >

Lake Erie

The reported Lake Erie water temperature is taken at the Buffalo Water Treatment Plant located on Lake Erie at the entrance to the Niagara River. The reading is taken at a depth of 30 feet. This data is unofficial.

Lake Ontario

The reported Lake Ontario water temperature is taken at the Monroe County Water Treatment Plant near Greece, N.Y. The temperatures is measured at the intake pipes about 1500 feet offshore at a approximate depth of 35 feet. The Lake Ontario temperature occasionally may not be representative of the surface temperature due to upwelling. This process, more common during the summer months, brings colder water from the deeper parts of the lake toward the surface near the temperature sensor. The surface water may be significantly warmer. This data is unofficial.

Latest Lake Temperatures

1004 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026 The water temperature off Buffalo is 75 degrees.

1004 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026 The water temperature off Rochester is 66 degrees.

Monthly Lake Erie Temperatures
January	February	March	April	May	June	July	August	September	October	November	December

Historical Lake Erie Temperatures (Unofficial Normals and Extremes)

The daily lake temperatures for Lake Erie off Buffalo and for Lake Ontario off Rochester are included in the Nearshore Marine Forecast.

Click the link for previous versions of the Nearshore Marine Forecast.

NearShore Marine Forecast

419
FZUS51 KBUF 070204
NSHBUF

Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

For waters within five nautical miles of shore

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-070900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light and variable winds. Partly cloudy late
this evening, then becoming mostly cloudy.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. A chance of showers in the
morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of
showers.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight.
.SUNDAY...Light and variable winds. A chance of showers Sunday
night.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers with a chance of
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...West winds around 10 knots becoming light and
variable. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Buffalo is 75 degrees.

$$

LOZ030-070900-
Lower Niagara River-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light and variable winds. Patchy fog late.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Patchy fog in the morning. A
chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
A chance of showers.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight.
.SUNDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A
chance of showers Sunday night.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers with a chance of
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...West winds 10 knots or less. Showers during the day,
then a chance of showers Tuesday night.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ040-041-070900-
Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light and variable winds. Mainly clear late
this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...South winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely
with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of
showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming
northwest less than 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A
chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of
thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of
thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ042-070900-
Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...South winds less than 10 knots becoming
southwest. Partly cloudy late this evening, then becoming mostly
cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. A chance of showers in the
morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A
chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance
of showers Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms during the day, then showers with a chance of
thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers during the day, then
a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to
1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ043-070900-
Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay along Lake Ontario
including Irondequoit Bay-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mainly
clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to
1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Rochester is 66 degrees.

$$

LOZ044-070900-
Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A
chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west
10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in
the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 10 knots or
less. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance
of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday
night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ045-070900-
Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario-
1004 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.REST OF TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming
south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...South winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest.
Partly to mostly sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then showers likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear,
then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely
with a chance of thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.TUESDAY...West winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers
Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

Radar